Will a new UK Prime Minister take office by the end of 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 61 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 59.9% | $3.5K | $704K | C | 0x763a7f…dc9e | ||
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 25.0% | $4.4K | $479K | C | 0x360229…4d60 | ||
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | $5.3K | $534K | C | 0xe955ed…f8fa | ||
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 3.7% | $4.6K | $400K | C | 0x9e329c…25da | ||
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 1.4% | $3.0K | $840K | C | 0xf365e4…86f1 | ||
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 1.3% | $4.6K | $336K | C | 0x0de4c5…03a1 | ||
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | $2.9K | $912K | C | 0x7ca95f…6b5c | ||
| Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | $2.9K | $342K | C | 0xb3fbac…9382 | ||
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.9% | $1.9K | $359K | C | 0xc11e99…c675 | ||
| Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.7% | $3.1K | $274K | C | 0xb77f39…9891 | ||
| Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | $3.2K | $623K | C | 0x3c9119…8213 | ||
| Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | $1.1K | $406K | C | 0xf187c9…d1ae | ||
| Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | $1.1K | $456K | C | 0xe83202…9e5a | ||
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $955 | $437K | C | 0x74e5ba…03f5 | ||
| Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $655 | $280K | C | 0x8025fb…bcbf | ||
| Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $5.0K | $405K | C | 0x8e1982…57b1 | ||
| Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $2.5K | $206K | C | 0xbdee97…aab9 | ||
| Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $11K | $430K | C | 0x6b4b89…e02b | ||
| Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $17K | $367K | C | 0xcead38…54b1 | ||
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $1.1K | $266K | C | 0xa61700…ee77 | ||
| Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $701 | $55K | C | 0xf42f7a…53b3 | ||
| Will Person B be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe655af…f23f | ||
| Will Person C be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x40b7e0…f718 | ||
| Will Person D be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa3ffaa…38ce | ||
| Will Person E be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x05730d…d795 | ||
| Will Person F be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xed7e60…eea2 | ||
| Will Person G be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x81333c…c9bf | ||
| Will Person H be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6a0bca…b11b | ||
| Will Person I be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9dc913…74aa | ||
| Will Person J be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcb03bf…82b4 | ||
| Will Person K be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x14eb55…e6f4 | ||
| Will Person L be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x36187b…3de5 | ||
| Will Person M be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x14008a…441f | ||
| Will Person N be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6c4427…f9cb | ||
| Will Person O be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb0322d…63d6 | ||
| Will Person P be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x829010…7098 | ||
| Will Person Q be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4321b1…4fa6 | ||
| Will Person R be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc658f5…5860 | ||
| Will Person S be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3b2b39…273e | ||
| Will Person T be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb2b923…dd33 | ||
| Will Person U be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3d9ac8…4cf3 | ||
| Will Person V be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd1324c…c7aa | ||
| Will Person W be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb33da9…b77c | ||
| Will Person X be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcbadf4…d7eb | ||
| Will Person Y be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xad68fb…ac55 | ||
| Will Person Z be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5a517b…b262 | ||
| Will Person AA be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8be699…1c69 | ||
| Will Person AB be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x39b911…814e | ||
| Will Person AC be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe08d9d…e86a | ||
| Will Person AD be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc77dfd…bffd | ||
| Will Person AE be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x27d06e…d91f | ||
| Will Person AF be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x316c82…a166 | ||
| Will Person AG be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9b98ee…8eff | ||
| Will Person AH be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf5962e…d14e | ||
| Will Person AI be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x22252e…ac94 | ||
| Will Person AJ be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbe8728…d90b | ||
| Will Person AK be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xeb1dd1…b46d | ||
| Will Person AL be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbead38…e870 | ||
| Will Person AM be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5c5d94…64b9 | ||
| Will Person AN be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa39bf1…55b0 | ||
| Will another person be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x806cc1…5e19 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-C6XMWPT5S6",
"slug": "next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122",
"question": "Will a new UK Prime Minister take office by the end of 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"uk-elections",
"prime-minister",
"executive-leadership",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 61,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 9112432,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}