Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? [ resolves 2026-09-13 (102D) ]
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 36 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 73.0% | $181 | $79K | C | 0x58d5cc…2a64 | ||
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 25.0% | $226 | $79K | C | 0x8a42bb…8894 | ||
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 2.5% | $804 | $1.36M | C | 0x86fa23…abfd | ||
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.6% | $52 | $290K | C | 0xa5b2b9…139e | ||
| Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.2% | $13 | $25K | C | 0x97c143…a761 | ||
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | $13 | $26K | C | 0xe7a227…fd27 | ||
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | $13 | $41K | C | 0xaae2b1…3a67 | ||
| Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | $513 | $64K | C | 0x1fd46f…4c60 | ||
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | $53 | $51K | C | 0x7767ed…3825 | ||
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.1% | $13 | $24K | C | 0x39272d…f5c9 | ||
| Will Candidate B be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x36e688…8a6b | ||
| Will Candidate F be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3579c3…718d | ||
| Will Candidate G be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x44ca17…a740 | ||
| Will Candidate P be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0d5971…0c56 | ||
| Will Candidate R be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x606c50…a836 | ||
| Will Candidate T be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x195f64…d165 | ||
| Will Candidate Z be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x188457…bb05 | ||
| Will Candidate C be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x600d2d…b855 | ||
| Will Candidate K be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcd7a9d…4f4b | ||
| Will Candidate M be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x343e9f…6648 | ||
| Will Candidate X be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x669a47…9df9 | ||
| Will Candidate Y be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x58c871…2da8 | ||
| Will Candidate E be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x62c97f…4403 | ||
| Will Candidate H be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe92282…eb6c | ||
| Will Candidate O be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf38401…fb8a | ||
| Will Candidate Q be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf15449…f1fb | ||
| Will Candidate S be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0b34da…5011 | ||
| Will Candidate U be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe97d05…a8db | ||
| Will Candidate V be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3077e8…403e | ||
| Will another candidate be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xde9703…f076 | ||
| Will Candidate D be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x736619…3bc4 | ||
| Will Candidate I be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf54f78…e298 | ||
| Will Candidate J be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0c294b…f7ad | ||
| Will Candidate L be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xec5d7f…8411 | ||
| Will Candidate N be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf66835…1098 | ||
| Will Candidate W be the next Prime Minister of Sweden | 2026-09-13 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9ce7b1…8949 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-prime-minister-of-sweden/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-prime-minister-of-sweden.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-prime-minister-of-sweden") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZZP9SJ1045",
"slug": "next-prime-minister-of-sweden",
"question": "Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"sweden",
"prime-minister",
"2026",
"government-leadership"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 36,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 2039711,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}