Who will be the next President of Hungary? [ resolved 2026-08-18 ]
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 34 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judit Polgár | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $25 | $59 | C | 0x981648…2366 | ||
| Péter Bárándy | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $139 | $2.1K | C | 0x0be85c…106b | ||
| Tamás Fabiny | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $373 | $2.3K | C | 0xaee37a…37dc | ||
| Ignác Romsics | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $440 | $5.3K | C | 0xc5d810…ca76 | ||
| Ildikó Enyedi | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $1.1K | C | 0xdbf930…ee20 | ||
| Adrienn Laczó | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $174 | $3.8K | C | 0x58f6d3…8be7 | ||
| Ágnes Forsthoffer | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $1.1K | $1.9K | C | 0xd6b843…8e99 | ||
| Botond Fülöp | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $575 | $3.2K | C | 0x377002…eff0 | ||
| Person B | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb9846d…da0b | ||
| Person C | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x43c44f…32c2 | ||
| Person D | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x45205d…fc92 | ||
| Person E | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0edafb…dec4 | ||
| Person F | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf65720…f07c | ||
| Person G | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3be77e…12e7 | ||
| Person H | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x520a75…40d4 | ||
| Person I | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x368984…37ac | ||
| Person J | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4f3082…7915 | ||
| Person K | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3fa6c5…e935 | ||
| Person L | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xaae06d…f4d6 | ||
| Person M | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa6ed91…f75a | ||
| Person N | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe3ca60…87fc | ||
| Person O | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x324170…00d0 | ||
| Person P | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa2cadb…c202 | ||
| Person Q | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf5891d…d9e7 | ||
| Person R | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbc1dac…1611 | ||
| Person S | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd32a38…f030 | ||
| Person T | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1c489b…1603 | ||
| Person U | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x02604f…f69a | ||
| Person V | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd80b98…6b7b | ||
| Person W | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xac9933…a5f9 | ||
| Person X | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8529aa…d3b9 | ||
| Person Y | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x499c49…41f8 | ||
| Person Z | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9ac478…4a3f | ||
| Someone else | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd2066b…5206 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
Government of Hungary from rules text a consensus of credible reporting from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Ildikó Enyedi be the next President of Hungary? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Judit Polgár be the next President of Hungary? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-president-of-hungary-20260727225539504/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-president-of-hungary-20260727225539504 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-president-of-hungary-20260727225539504") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-YC6Q9HJB31",
"slug": "next-president-of-hungary-20260727225539504",
"question": "Who will be the next President of Hungary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"hungary",
"executive-branch",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 34,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 19758,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 67,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Government of Hungary",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}