Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? [ resolves 2026-10-05 (124D) ]
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 29 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026… | 2026-10-05 | 57.0% | $229 | $6.7K | C | 0x610344…c825 | ||
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec… | 2026-10-05 | 23.0% | $116 | $3.1K | C | 0x5e4594…08b4 | ||
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026… | 2026-10-05 | 11.0% | $426 | $3.9K | C | 0xa43974…9231 | ||
| Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec… | 2026-10-05 | 1.3% | $19 | $3.8K | C | 0xcb4977…65f6 | ||
| Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec… | 2026-10-05 | 0.4% | $100 | $7.0K | C | 0xc7b0c4…5973 | ||
| Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec… | 2026-10-05 | 0.2% | $2.6K | $17K | C | 0x0b6aa7…df26 | ||
| Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec… | 2026-10-05 | 0.1% | $19 | $2.8K | C | 0xce9914…213a | ||
| Will Person K be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8a019e…6e41 | ||
| Will Person M be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4a32be…1550 | ||
| Will Person N be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x70c7a5…efe6 | ||
| Will Person O be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0b7501…4431 | ||
| Will Person R be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8e447d…001a | ||
| Will Person T be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc662f1…8642 | ||
| Will someone else be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0384b7…45b8 | ||
| Will Person D be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xca557a…4fbf | ||
| Will Person F be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x99e779…e163 | ||
| Will Person J be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4eb696…4e18 | ||
| Will Person S be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x54190a…5a74 | ||
| Will Person C be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x37c2e0…ca5b | ||
| Will Person G be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3179cc…1e1b | ||
| Will Person L be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x175d9f…d38d | ||
| Will Person A be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x391c6a…d298 | ||
| Will Person B be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0adad9…7178 | ||
| Will Person E be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x501cee…bc7f | ||
| Will Person H be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd823e7…cfc1 | ||
| Will Person I be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x24e54e…d709 | ||
| Will Person P be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd2c4ee…237b | ||
| Will Person Q be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2bdd4d…d116 | ||
| Will Person U be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general… | 2026-10-05 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x13fe47…80c0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-premier-of-quebec-594/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-premier-of-quebec-594.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-premier-of-quebec-594") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-X4XRMN8RJ9",
"slug": "next-premier-of-quebec-594",
"question": "Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"quebec",
"canada",
"2026",
"executive-leadership"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 29,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 43984,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 54,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}