Will the Republican primary winner for New York Governor be determined by June 2026? [ resolved 2026-06-23 ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Blakeman | 2026-06-23 | 100.0% | $39 | $25K | C | 0x142eb6…bf6e | ||
| Elise Stefanik | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | $300 | $12K | C | 0xbab570…a425 | ||
| David Tulley | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | $43K | C | 0x2ab732…4a0d | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x800df6…15aa | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7eae93…0e21 | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa056b2…7739 | ||
| Candidate H | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9e74b6…facd | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x20ad8d…da5d | ||
| Pat Hahn | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | $2.9K | C | 0x031d44…1500 | ||
| Betsy McCaughey | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | $24K | C | 0xa64429…4c63 | ||
| Candidate A | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5779b0…5d4b | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcff146…7ccb | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6e00dc…b08d | ||
| Candidate G | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa551c9…290a | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xeab601…13cd | ||
| Candidate K | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6c01bc…cb7a | ||
| Candidate M | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0145ec…8679 | ||
| Candidate O | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x52f550…9b3b | ||
| Candidate L | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9224c6…6227 | ||
| Candidate N | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x29cffd…c157 | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-06-23 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1e24d9…6adf |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party from rules text · editorial
- an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Pat Hahn win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will David Tulley win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-19 | 0% |
| YES | Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-19 | 100% |
| NO | Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-19 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-BG2D83SSZ7",
"slug": "new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner",
"question": "Will the Republican primary winner for New York Governor be determined by June 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"new-york",
"republican-primary",
"2026",
"gubernatorial"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 107522,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}