MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? [ resolves 2025-12 – 2027-01 ]

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

polymarket 5 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025	2025-12-31	100.0%	—	$17.98M	C	`0x19ee98…36a2`
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026	2026-07-01	99.9%	—	$8.42M	C	`0x8e7a03…ba00`
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026	2026-07-01	0.4%	$139.01M	$230.18M	C	`0x3733a1…3868`
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026	2027-01-01	99.9%	—	$2.25M	C	`0x8213d3…64b4`
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026	—	0.1%	—	$2.71M	C	`0x9a4db7…6cb0`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	uncommitted	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 5 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QW6P6GZ8N4",
  "slug": "microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025",
  "question": "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "microstrategy",
    "bitcoin-holdings",
    "crypto-assets",
    "corporate-liquidation",
    "2025"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 261532593,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 50,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →