Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? [ resolves 2026-07-31 (58D) ]
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 29 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 95.5% | $32K | $2.12M | C | 0x807a5b…3067 | ||
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 3.4% | $9.4K | $505K | C | 0x690d50…42d5 | ||
| Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.2% | — | $109K | C | 0xe766d9…4e5f | ||
| Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.1% | — | $82K | C | 0x3bb5ce…2a39 | ||
| Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.1% | — | $91K | C | 0xd33b40…a527 | ||
| Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.1% | — | $207K | C | 0x715eb3…c47f | ||
| Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.1% | — | $167K | C | 0x924819…95f4 | ||
| Will any other person be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x19fa81…87de | ||
| Will Player A be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xebd650…0e04 | ||
| Will Player B be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xad7329…e079 | ||
| Will Player C be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc40b71…3432 | ||
| Will Player D be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa5f132…705f | ||
| Will Player E be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf8602b…70e5 | ||
| Will Player F be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x80cf19…236e | ||
| Will Player G be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x02ccf7…c324 | ||
| Will Player H be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x938664…0ace | ||
| Will Player I be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa65fdb…2376 | ||
| Will Player J be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4f9a14…3697 | ||
| Will Player K be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x85cec9…ccf6 | ||
| Will Player L be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe419e4…ec3c | ||
| Will Player M be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x73c63b…0c4b | ||
| Will Player N be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd24b6d…4922 | ||
| Will Player O be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5ca4ba…0f16 | ||
| Will Player P be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x769e4d…f20c | ||
| Will Player Q be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8c0f62…d582 | ||
| Will Player R be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0478d4…80fc | ||
| Will Player S be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbd9b1b…eed9 | ||
| Will Player T be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6783f1…003f | ||
| Will Player U be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5a1c79…00f8 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/maine-democratic-senate-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/maine-democratic-senate-primary-winner.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("maine-democratic-senate-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2RT2G292H4",
"slug": "maine-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
"question": "Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"maine",
"democratic-primary",
"us-senate",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 29,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 3286413,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 47,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}