Will the largest private company by revenue be the same at the end of June? [ resolves 2026-07-01 (28D) ]
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 96.4% | $389 | $15K | C | 0x422d72…5b07 | ||
| Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 1.5% | $594 | $9.5K | C | 0x2b3dee…76a0 | ||
| Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 1.0% | — | $16K | C | 0xd19a8d…812d | ||
| Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.2% | — | $3.2K | C | 0xe2dc8c…f7bb | ||
| Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $1.7K | C | 0x217a0b…3744 | ||
| Will Kraken have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $1.6K | C | 0x4462d9…2f98 | ||
| Will Neuralink have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $4.6K | C | 0xf829a3…2c6f | ||
| Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $3.3K | C | 0x049eb5…7cad | ||
| Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | C | 0xdff41c…63fc | ||
| Will Canva have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | C | 0x4f6bd7…738b | ||
| Will Epic Games have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $2.0K | C | 0x09a267…f47f | ||
| Will Lambda have the highest private market valuation on June 30 | 2026-07-01 | 0.1% | — | $1.7K | C | 0xcc01b6…3f0d |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the listed company with the largest private market valuation on June 30, 2026.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/largest-private-company-end-of-june/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/largest-private-company-end-of-june.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("largest-private-company-end-of-june") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Z4Y6TF2QS5",
"slug": "largest-private-company-end-of-june",
"question": "Will the largest private company by revenue be the same at the end of June?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"private-valuation",
"tech-giants",
"ai-unicorns",
"market-snapshot-2026",
"ranking-comparison"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 61830,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 47,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}