Which company will have the largest market capitalization at the end of December 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 28 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 73.0% | $6.4K | $579K | C | 0x684e5b…4696 | ||
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 13.0% | $17K | $315K | C | 0x39676b…8f7c | ||
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 9.6% | $6.8K | $355K | C | 0x55a5a4…176a | ||
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 4.0% | $8.2K | $219K | C | 0xa226da…3574 | ||
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December… | 2026-12-31 | 0.8% | $9.7K | $565K | C | 0x899f8c…1734 | ||
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.7% | $2.8K | $408K | C | 0x6b978b…6bca | ||
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.6% | $2.4K | $354K | C | 0x1f403f…4af4 | ||
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | $4.8K | $356K | C | 0xa0bc0c…412e | ||
| Will Company C be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x27c69b…4c83 | ||
| Will Company E be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1393f4…ef2f | ||
| Will Company G be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbb46fa…c1fd | ||
| Will Company I be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf21489…f7fb | ||
| Will Company K be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x426c09…64c4 | ||
| Will Company M be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd2a7d0…3811 | ||
| Will Company O be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcbaa5d…422d | ||
| Will Company Q be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x223c1c…c4f5 | ||
| Will Company S be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb5db4a…55c8 | ||
| Will any other company be the largest company in the world by market cap on… | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x53ce19…429b | ||
| Will Company B be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcf4763…fc81 | ||
| Will Company D be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd587cc…b178 | ||
| Will Company F be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe55f5c…2375 | ||
| Will Company H be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa2adf3…aa6b | ||
| Will Company J be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x720e34…3791 | ||
| Will Company L be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf076a7…6527 | ||
| Will Company N be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcbf1be…a447 | ||
| Will Company P be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb9929c…71cb | ||
| Will Company R be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5c4461…354e | ||
| Will Company T be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb250be…c250 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/largest-company-end-of-december-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/largest-company-end-of-december-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("largest-company-end-of-december-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WMBW6M11T5",
"slug": "largest-company-end-of-december-2026",
"question": "Which company will have the largest market capitalization at the end of December 2026?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"market-cap-ranking",
"tech-giants",
"2026-resolution",
"economy",
"business"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 28,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 3150955,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 53,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}