XRP trimmed mean price, August 31, 2026 [ resolved 2026-09-01 ]
Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $1.1 | 2026-08-19 | 100.0% | $204 | $2.3K | A | KXXRPMAXMON-…110 | ||
| ≥ $1.2 | 2026-08-20 | 100.0% | $115 | $2.3K | A | KXXRPMAXMON-…120 | ||
| ≥ $1.3 | 2026-08-20 | 100.0% | $44 | $251 | A | KXXRPMAXMON-…130 | ||
| ≥ $1.4 | 2026-08-21 | 100.0% | $93 | $208 | A | KXXRPMAXMON-…140 | ||
| ≥ $1.5 | 2026-08-23 | 100.0% | $8 | $16 | A | KXXRPMAXMON-…150 | ||
| ≥ $1.6 | 2026-08-25 | 100.0% | $53 | $176 | A | KXXRPMAXMON-…160 | ||
| ≥ $1.7 | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $29 | $64 | A | KXXRPMAXMON-…170 | ||
| ≥ $1.8 | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $3 | $14 | A | KXXRPMAXMON-…180 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CF Benchmarks | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $
1.10, then the market resolves to Yes.
At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks" sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.70 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.80 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| YES | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-25 | 100% |
| YES | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-23 | 100% |
| YES | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.40 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-21 | 100% |
| YES | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.30 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-20 | 100% |
| YES | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.20 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-20 | 100% |
| YES | Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-19 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Buyers back XRP clearing $1.70 by Aug 31 at heavy odds 84% · $12K 24h
- Kalshi prices 84%, strong conviction XRP stays above $1.70 through month-end.
- 24h volume $12K is 74% of all-time, the dominant session in this contract's history.
- With $1.60 at 99%, the $1.70 contract is the active price-discovery layer for XRP near-term.
- Resolves 11:59 PM ET Aug 31 on trimmed-mean XRP price.
- XRP above $1.60 by Aug 31 is a near-certain bet 99% · $22K 24h
- Kalshi prices 99%, market treats this threshold as already cleared with nine days left.
- 24h volume $22K is 59% of all-time, large for a contract priced at virtual certainty.
- Late-contract volume at 99% likely reflects traders collecting remaining premium or closing hedges.
- Resolves 11:59 PM ET Aug 31 on trimmed-mean XRP price.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxxrpmaxmon-xrp-26aug31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxxrpmaxmon-xrp-26aug31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxxrpmaxmon-xrp-26aug31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SL8FQN9Q73",
"slug": "kxxrpmaxmon-xrp-26aug31",
"question": "XRP trimmed mean price, August 31, 2026",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"xrp-price",
"crypto-altcoin",
"august-2026",
"price-prediction",
"trimmed-mean-oracle"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5361,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks",
"url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CF XRPUSD_RTI",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}