CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

WTI crude oil minimum settlement price, December 31, 2026 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 8 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≤ $50 2027-01-01 8.0%
$1 $164
A KXWTIMIN-26D…T50
≤ $55 2027-01-01 10.0%
$2 $812
A KXWTIMIN-26D…T55
≤ $60 2027-01-01 13.0%
$1 $1.9K
A KXWTIMIN-26D…T60
≤ $65 2027-01-01 14.0%
$2 $657
A KXWTIMIN-26D…T65
≤ $70 2027-01-01 32.0%
$426 $7.7K
A KXWTIMIN-26D…T70
≤ $75 2027-01-01 45.0%
$19 $8.8K
A KXWTIMIN-26D…T75
≤ $80 2027-01-01 61.0%
$189 $34K
A KXWTIMIN-26D…T80
≤ $85 2027-01-01 98.0%
$152K
A KXWTIMIN-26D…T85
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff theice.com link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 8 markets · share this text
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $85 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "theice.com"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwtimin-26dec31/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwtimin-26dec31.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxwtimin-26dec31")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7TJGC08326",
  "slug": "kxwtimin-26dec31",
  "question": "WTI crude oil minimum settlement price, December 31, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "wti-crude-oil",
    "energy-commodities",
    "price-floor",
    "2026-resolution",
    "financial-derivatives"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 8,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 206077,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "theice.com",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.theice.com/index",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →