WTI crude oil maximum settlement price in 2026 (multi-deadline series) [ resolves 2027-01 – 2027-01 ]
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 13 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $100 | 2027-01-01 | 99.8% | — | $465K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…100 | ||
| ≥ $105 | 2027-01-01 | 81.2% | — | $234K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…105 | ||
| ≥ $110 | 2027-01-01 | 85.0% | — | $125K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…110 | ||
| ≥ $115 | 2027-01-07 | 47.1% | $3.6K | $503K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…115 | ||
| ≥ $120 | 2027-01-07 | 37.3% | $2.6K | $255K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…120 | ||
| ≥ $125 | 2027-01-07 | 34.6% | $2.5K | $180K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…125 | ||
| ≥ $130 | 2027-01-07 | 29.9% | $1.0K | $154K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…130 | ||
| ≥ $135 | 2027-01-07 | 25.5% | $643 | $98K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…135 | ||
| ≥ $140 | 2027-01-07 | 22.3% | $808 | $135K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…140 | ||
| ≥ $150 | 2027-01-07 | 20.0% | $1.8K | $150K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…150 | ||
| ≥ $160 | 2027-01-07 | 16.7% | $499 | $89K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…160 | ||
| ≥ $180 | 2027-01-07 | 12.9% | $408 | $97K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…180 | ||
| ≥ $200 | 2027-01-07 | 11.8% | $429 | $57K | A | KXWTIMAX-26D…200 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ICE | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $115 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ICE" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- ICE source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwtimax-26dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwtimax-26dec31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwtimax-26dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-08YPSXQR83",
"slug": "kxwtimax-26dec31",
"question": "WTI crude oil maximum settlement price in 2026 (multi-deadline series)",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"wti-oil",
"energy-commodities",
"price-ceiling",
"2026",
"financial-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 2541992,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ICE",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.theice.com/index",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "ICE",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ICE",
"url": "https://www.theice.com/index",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}