CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will someone visit the White House in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 33 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Jeff Bezos 2027-01-01 99.8%
$2.5K
B KXWHVISIT-27-JBEZ
Joe Rogan 2027-01-01 99.5%
$32K
B KXWHVISIT-27-JROG
Dario Amodei 2027-01-01 99.1%
$6.6K
B KXWHVISIT-27-DAMO
Mark Zuckerberg 2027-01-01 99.0%
$3.4K
B KXWHVISIT-27-MZUC
Sam Altman 2027-01-01 99.0%
$12K
B KXWHVISIT-27-SAMA
Joseph Aoun 2027-01-01 99.0%
$8.6K
B KXWHVISIT-27…AOU
Jensen Huang 2027-01-01 97.3%
$2.1K
B KXWHVISIT-27-JHUA
Xi Jinping 2027-01-01 88.0%
$29K
B KXWHVISIT-27-XJIN
Abelardo de la Espriella 2027-01-01 80.0%
$4
B KXWHVISIT-27-AESP
Mark Carney 2027-01-01 71.0%
$3.4K
B KXWHVISIT-27-MCAR
Elon Musk 2027-01-01 69.0%
$4.6K
B KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 2027-01-01 55.0%
$33 $1.6K
B KXWHVISIT-27-VZEL
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi 2027-01-01 55.0%
$2.3K
B KXWHVISIT-27-AALS
Hakeem Jeffries 2027-01-01 50.0%
$2.7K
B KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF
Claudia Sheinbaum 2027-01-01 35.0%
$1.4K
B KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE
John Ternus 2027-01-01 35.0%
$4.6K
B KXWHVISIT-27-JTER
Abiy Ahmed 2027-01-01 21.0%
$1.3K
B KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM
Gavin Newsom 2027-01-01 20.0%
$876
B KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW
Jaxson Dart 2027-01-01 19.0%
$19
B KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Bill Maher 2027-01-01 18.0%
$336
B KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH
Cristiano Ronaldo 2027-01-01 16.0%
$0 $398
B KXWHVISIT-27-CRON
Eric Adams 2027-01-01 15.0%
$366
B KXWHVISIT-27-EADA
Vladimir Putin 2027-01-01 14.0%
$440
B KXWHVISIT-27-VPUT
Lionel Messi 2027-01-01 14.0%
$7
B KXWHVISIT-27…MES
Bola Ahmed Tinubu 2027-01-01 12.0%
$28
B KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN
Pope Leo XIV 2027-01-01 9.0%
$440
B KXWHVISIT-27-PLEO
Reza Pahlavi 2027-01-01 8.4%
$1.2K
B KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH
Barack Obama 2027-01-01 8.2%
$127
B KXWHVISIT-27-OBAM
Jerome Powell 2027-01-01 7.7%
$71
B KXWHVISIT-27-JPOW
Hun Manet 2027-01-01 7.1%
$44
B KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN
Marjorie Taylor Greene 2027-01-01 4.4%
$156
B KXWHVISIT-27-MTG
Anutin Charnvirakul 2027-01-01 4.0%
$159
B KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA
Joe Biden 2027-01-01 3.1%
$44
B KXWHVISIT-27-JBID
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff ABC not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 33 markets · share this text
If Eric Adams visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn. The announcement must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 and so must the actual visit.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC"
sources (15) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-07-21 99%
YES Will Mark Zuckerberg visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-06-15 99%
YES Will Sam Altman visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-06-08 99%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwhvisit-27/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwhvisit-27
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxwhvisit-27")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MS6NQYGFQ9",
  "slug": "kxwhvisit-27",
  "question": "Will someone visit the White House in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "white-house-visits",
    "us-politics",
    "2027-resolution",
    "political-figures",
    "domestic-events"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 33,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 122804,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 75,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ABC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Office of the Presidency",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "AP",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Office of the Presidency",
      "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/executive-office-of-the-president/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "White House",
      "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →