Will someone visit the White House in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will Claudia Sheinbaum visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 31 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jeff Bezos visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 99.8% | — | $2.5K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-JBEZ | ||
| Will Joe Rogan visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 99.5% | — | $32K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-JROG | ||
| Will Dario Amodei visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 99.1% | — | $6.6K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-DAMO | ||
| Will Jensen Huang visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 97.3% | — | $2.1K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-JHUA | ||
| Will Sam Altman visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 93.6% | $790 | $11K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-SAMA | ||
| Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 86.0% | $1 | $3.7K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS | ||
| Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 86.0% | $30 | $23K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-XJIN | ||
| Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 73.0% | — | $3.1K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-MCAR | ||
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 63.0% | $3 | $1.5K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-VZEL | ||
| Will Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 63.0% | $126 | $2.4K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-AALS | ||
| Will Hakeem Jeffries visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 62.0% | — | $3.1K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF | ||
| Will Mark Zuckerberg visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 61.0% | — | $1.5K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-MZUC | ||
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 47.0% | — | $1.5K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE | ||
| Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 47.0% | — | $1.7K | B | KXWHVISIT-27…AOU | ||
| Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 36.0% | $13 | $4.6K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-JTER | ||
| Will Reza Pahlavi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 26.0% | — | $3.2K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH | ||
| Will Abiy Ahmed visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 25.0% | — | $1.6K | B | KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 23.0% | — | $971 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW | ||
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $872 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA | ||
| Will Jaxson Dart visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $19 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR | ||
| Will Eric Adams visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 21.0% | — | $507 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-EADA | ||
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | — | $405 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-CRON | ||
| Will Bola Ahmed Tinubu visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 19.0% | $0 | $44 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN | ||
| Will Bill Maher visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 18.0% | — | $310 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH | ||
| Will Hun Manet visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 16.0% | — | $97 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN | ||
| Will Vladimir Putin visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | — | $290 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-VPUT | ||
| Will Barack Obama visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 12.0% | — | $182 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-OBAM | ||
| Will Joe Biden visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 9.8% | — | $138 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-JBID | ||
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | — | $291 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-MTG | ||
| Will Jerome Powell visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 8.7% | $1 | $77 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-JPOW | ||
| Will Pope Leo XIV visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 2.1% | $0 | $97 | B | KXWHVISIT-27-PLEO |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Eric Adams visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn. The announcement must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 and so must the actual visit.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwhvisit-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwhvisit-27.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwhvisit-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MS6NQYGFQ9",
"slug": "kxwhvisit-27",
"question": "Will someone visit the White House in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"white-house-visits",
"us-politics",
"political-figures",
"2027-resolution",
"international-diplomacy"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 31,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 109491,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 57,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}