Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? [ resolves 2026-07-25 (52D) ]
Will Joe Scarborough attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 99.0% | — | $31K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…DJT | ||
| Will Bari Weiss attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 99.0% | — | $2.3K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…WEI | ||
| Will JD Vance attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 99.0% | — | $18K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…VAN | ||
| Will Bret Baier attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 99.0% | — | $6.3K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…BAI | ||
| Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 98.0% | — | $48K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…RUB | ||
| Will Mike Johnson attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 98.0% | — | $11K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…JOH | ||
| Will Stephen Miller attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 94.0% | — | $8.7K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…MIL | ||
| Will Pete Hegseth attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 93.0% | — | $16K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…HEG | ||
| Will John Thune attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 69.0% | — | $1.2K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…THU | ||
| Will Joe Scarborough attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 49.0% | — | $736 | C | KXWHCDATTEND…SCA | ||
| Will George Stephanopoulos attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 27.0% | — | $1.8K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…STE | ||
| Will Sean Hannity attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 21.0% | $47 | $1.6K | C | KXWHCDATTEND…HAN | ||
| Will Susie Wiles attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 18.0% | — | $327 | C | KXWHCDATTEND…WIL | ||
| Will Ivanka Trump attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 4.0% | $0 | $153 | C | KXWHCDATTEND…TRU | ||
| Will Jake Tapper attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner | 2026-07-25 | 1.0% | — | $50 | C | KXWHCDATTEND…TAP |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | USA Today | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump attends the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "USA Today" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwhcdattend-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwhcdattend-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwhcdattend-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-J65WW2Z339",
"slug": "kxwhcdattend-26",
"question": "Will Marco Rubio attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"white-house-correspondents-dinner",
"2026-event",
"political-attendance",
"washington-dc",
"celebrity-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 147916,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "USA Today",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}