Will Spencer Pratt receive more than 10% of the vote in the Los Angeles mayoral election first round? [ resolved 2026-06-27 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 10% | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $288 | $11K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-55 | ||
| ≥ 15% | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $288 | $9.6K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-57 | ||
| ≥ 20% | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $880 | $146K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-60 | ||
| ≥ 23% | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $872 | $29K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-61 | ||
| ≥ 24% | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $251 | $93K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…2-5 | ||
| ≥ 25% | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $13K | $1.08M | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-62 | ||
| ≥ 26% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | $164 | $12K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-63 | ||
| ≥ 27% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | $72 | $4.1K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…3-5 | ||
| ≥ 28% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | $113 | $1.9K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-64 | ||
| ≥ 29% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $1.7K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…4-5 | ||
| ≥ 30% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $26K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-65 | ||
| ≥ 35% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | $52 | $8.3K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-67 | ||
| ≥ 40% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | $3 | $12K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-70 | ||
| ≥ 45% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | $203 | $5.8K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-72 | ||
| ≥ 50% | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $14K | C | KXVOTEPRIMAR…-75 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | official government website of <geography> | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "official government website of <geography>" sources (1)
- official government website of <geography> venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| YES | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| YES | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| YES | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 23% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| YES | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| YES | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 27% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 29% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (15 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxvoteprimary-mayorla26spra/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxvoteprimary-mayorla26spra |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxvoteprimary-mayorla26spra") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-S8923QMNC8",
"slug": "kxvoteprimary-mayorla26spra",
"question": "Will Spencer Pratt receive more than 10% of the vote in the Los Angeles mayoral election first round?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"los-angeles-mayoral-2027",
"celebrity-politics",
"vote-share-threshold",
"first-round-election",
"spencer-pratt"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1451132,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 77,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "official government website of " ,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official government website of " ,
"url": "https://www.usa.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}