Will US nonfarm payrolls increase in May 2026? [ resolves 2026-06-12 (9D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ -40,000 | 2026-06-12 | 99.0% | — | $1.8K | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…-40 | ||
| ≥ -20,000 | 2026-06-12 | 92.0% | — | $1.0K | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…-20 | ||
| ≥ 0 | 2026-06-12 | 96.0% | $1 | $3.3K | A | KXUSNFP-26JUN05-T0 | ||
| ≥ 20,000 | 2026-06-12 | 89.0% | — | $85 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…T20 | ||
| ≥ 40,000 | 2026-06-12 | 92.0% | — | $4 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…T40 | ||
| ≥ 60,000 | 2026-06-12 | 67.0% | — | $2.8K | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…T60 | ||
| ≥ 80,000 | 2026-06-12 | 79.0% | $61 | $1.7K | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…T80 | ||
| ≥ 100,000 | 2026-06-12 | 74.0% | $178 | $676 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…100 | ||
| ≥ 120,000 | 2026-06-12 | 28.0% | — | $10 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…120 | ||
| ≥ 140,000 | 2026-06-12 | 15.0% | — | $16 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…140 | ||
| ≥ 160,000 | 2026-06-12 | 10.0% | — | $3 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…160 | ||
| ≥ 180,000 | 2026-06-12 | 8.0% | — | $395 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…180 | ||
| ≥ 200,000 | 2026-06-12 | 3.0% | — | $127 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…200 | ||
| ≥ 220,000 | 2026-06-12 | 3.0% | — | $208 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…220 | ||
| ≥ 240,000 | 2026-06-12 | 2.0% | — | $255 | A | KXUSNFP-26JU…240 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Trading Economics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Trading Economics" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusnfp-26jun05/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusnfp-26jun05.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxusnfp-26jun05") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VP81V13F65",
"slug": "kxusnfp-26jun05",
"question": "Will US nonfarm payrolls increase in May 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-labor-market",
"economic-data",
"employment",
"monthly-indicator",
"nonfarm-payrolls"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12490,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Trading Economics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/non-farm-payrolls",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}