Will US gasoline CPI increase for May? [ resolves 2026-06-17 (14D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 22 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 330 | 2026-06-17 | 99.0% | — | $4.6K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…330 | ||
| ≥ 335 | 2026-06-17 | 99.0% | — | $6.1K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…335 | ||
| ≥ 340 | 2026-06-17 | 99.0% | — | $3.1K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…340 | ||
| ≥ 345 | 2026-06-17 | 99.0% | — | $3.0K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…345 | ||
| ≥ 350 | 2026-06-17 | 99.0% | — | $3.3K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…350 | ||
| ≥ 355 | 2026-06-17 | 99.0% | — | $3.7K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…355 | ||
| ≥ 360 | 2026-06-17 | 99.0% | — | $6.6K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…360 | ||
| ≥ 365 | 2026-06-17 | 62.0% | — | $3.1K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…365 | ||
| ≥ 370 | 2026-06-17 | 85.0% | $36 | $1.6K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…370 | ||
| ≥ 375 | 2026-06-17 | 91.0% | $1 | $2.5K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…375 | ||
| ≥ 376 | 2026-06-17 | 68.0% | $393 | $393 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…376 | ||
| ≥ 377 | 2026-06-17 | 55.0% | $1.2K | $4.1K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…377 | ||
| ≥ 378 | 2026-06-17 | 21.0% | $1.1K | $4.4K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…378 | ||
| ≥ 379 | 2026-06-17 | 5.0% | $131 | $884 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…379 | ||
| ≥ 380 | 2026-06-17 | 3.0% | $368 | $1.7K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…380 | ||
| ≥ 385 | 2026-06-17 | 2.0% | — | $621 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…385 | ||
| ≥ 390 | 2026-06-17 | 2.0% | — | $620 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…390 | ||
| ≥ 395 | 2026-06-17 | 7.0% | — | $145 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…395 | ||
| ≥ 400 | 2026-06-17 | 2.0% | — | $103 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…400 | ||
| ≥ 405 | 2026-06-17 | 3.0% | — | $145 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…405 | ||
| ≥ 410 | 2026-06-17 | 2.0% | — | $87 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…410 | ||
| ≥ 415 | 2026-06-17 | 2.0% | — | $186 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…415 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for May 2026 is above 330ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusgascpi-26jun10/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusgascpi-26jun10.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxusgascpi-26jun10") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-112L9VRK74",
"slug": "kxusgascpi-26jun10",
"question": "Will US gasoline CPI increase for May?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-gasoline-prices",
"cpi-components",
"energy-markets",
"may-2026",
"economic-indicators"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 22,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 51081,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}