CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Total flight cancellations within, into, or out of the United States, June 12, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-12 ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 20 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
> 1000 2026-06-12 100.0%
$50 $74
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…000
> 1200 2026-06-12 100.0%
$1.1K
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…200
> 1400 2026-06-12 100.0%
$10 $1.5K
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…400
> 1600 2026-06-12 100.0%
$2.0K
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…600
> 1800 2026-06-12 100.0%
$18 $315
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…800
> 2000 2026-06-12 100.0%
$777
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…000
> 2200 2026-06-12 100.0%
$194
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…200
> 2400 2026-06-12 100.0%
$276
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…400
> 2600 2026-06-12 100.0%
$498 $508
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…600
> 2800 2026-06-12 100.0%
$153 $153
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…800
> 3000 2026-06-12 100.0%
$201 $629
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…000
> 3200 2026-06-12 100.0%
$155 $155
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…200
> 3400 2026-06-12 100.0%
$89 $89
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…400
> 3600 2026-06-12 100.0%
$37 $37
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…600
> 3800 2026-06-12 100.0%
$56 $56
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…800
> 4000 2026-06-12 100.0%
$83 $83
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…000
> 4600 2026-06-12 100.0%
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…600
> 4800 2026-06-12 100.0%
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…800
> 5000 2026-06-12 0.0%
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…000
> 5200 2026-06-12 0.0%
A KXUSFLYCAN-2…200
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 20 markets · share this text
If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending June 12, 2026 is above 1000ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jun 12, 2026.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation"
sources (3) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 1000ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 1200ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 1400ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 1600ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 1800ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 2000ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 2200ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 2400ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 2600ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 2800ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 3000ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 3200ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 3400ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 3600ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 3800ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 4000ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 4600ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
YES Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 4800ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 100%
NO Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 5000ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 0%
NO Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending June 12, 2026 be above 5200ㅤ? kalshi 2026-06-12 0%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (20 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusflycan-26jun12/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusflycan-26jun12
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxusflycan-26jun12")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FGW1KTTKY8",
  "slug": "kxusflycan-26jun12",
  "question": "Total flight cancellations within, into, or out of the United States, June 12, 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-aviation",
    "weekly-metric",
    "operational-disruption",
    "real-time-data",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 20,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 7976,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 95,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "FlightAware",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "FlightAware",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →