CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

USDX price, December 31, 2026 [ resolves 2027-01-07 (168D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
> 101 2027-01-07 99.0%
$6.5K
A KXUSDX-26-T101
> 102 2027-01-07 89.0%
$4.8K
A KXUSDX-26-T102
> 103 2027-01-07 45.0%
$8 $1.4K
A KXUSDX-26-T103
> 104 2027-01-07 24.0%
$2.0K
A KXUSDX-26-T104
> 105 2027-01-07 17.0%
$674
A KXUSDX-26-T105
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff ICE link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 5 markets · share this text
If the U.S. dollar index (DXY) is above 101 at any time between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ICE"
sources (1) · single authority
  • ICE source of record venue-listed
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will the price of the USDX be above 101 by Dec 31, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-23 99%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusdx-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusdx-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxusdx-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR21H53CS0",
  "slug": "kxusdx-26",
  "question": "USDX price, December 31, 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "dxy-usdx",
    "forex-currencies",
    "economic-indicators",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 15328,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 96,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ICE",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "ICE",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "ICE",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →