Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? [ resolves 2027-01-05 (166D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Infantino · Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? | 2027-01-05 | 98.0% | $197 | $197 | C | KXUNSEC-27JAN-GINF | ||
| Rafael Grossi · Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? | 2027-01-05 | 54.0% | — | $13K | C | KXUNSEC-27JAN-RGRO | ||
| Rebeca Grynspan · Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? | 2027-01-05 | 20.0% | $7 | $2.8K | C | KXUNSEC-27JA…RYN | ||
| Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN | 2027-01-05 | 6.0% | — | $514 | C | KXUNSEC-27JAN-MFER | ||
| Mia Mottley · Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? | 2027-01-05 | 1.0% | — | $19 | C | KXUNSEC-27JAN-MMOT | ||
| Alicia Bárcena · Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? | 2027-01-05 | 1.0% | — | $9 | C | KXUNSEC-27JAN-ABAR | ||
| Amina J. Mohammed · Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? | 2027-01-05 | 1.0% | — | $41 | C | KXUNSEC-27JAN-AMOH | ||
| Michelle Bachelet · Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? | 2027-01-05 | 1.0% | — | $101 | C | KXUNSEC-27JAN-MBAC |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Washington Post | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post" sources (21)
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- ESPN venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- TechCrunch venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Wired venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- The Athletic venue-listed
- company/organization venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxunsec-27jan/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxunsec-27jan |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxunsec-27jan") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Y26HBBBK98",
"slug": "kxunsec-27jan",
"question": "Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"un-secretary-general",
"international-politics",
"leadership-selection",
"2027",
"global-governance"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 16830,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 58,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ESPN",
"url": "https://www.espn.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "TechCrunch",
"url": "https://techcrunch.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Wired",
"url": "https://www.wired.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Athletic",
"url": "https://theathletic.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "company/organization",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": " The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}