CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Uber's trip volume increase in Q2? [ resolves 2026-07-31 (58D) ]

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 12 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 3.4 2026-07-31 99.0%
$4.6K
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 3.5 2026-07-31 99.0%
$8.0K
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 3.6 2026-07-31 99.0%
$9.0K
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 3.7 2026-07-31 99.0%
$8.9K
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 3.75 2026-07-31 98.0%
$11K
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 3.8 2026-07-31 99.0%
$2 $12K
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 3.85 2026-07-31 0.0%
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 3.9 2026-07-31 76.0%
$5 $7
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 3.95 2026-07-31 57.0%
$6 $127
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 4 2026-07-31 40.0%
$103
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 4.05 2026-07-31 29.0%
$73
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
≥ 4.1 2026-07-31 14.0%
$37
C KXUBERTRIPS-…ION
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff uncommitted not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 12 markets · share this text
If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.4 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxubertrips-q2/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxubertrips-q2.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxubertrips-q2")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PTJCD4DK31",
  "slug": "kxubertrips-q2",
  "question": "Will Uber's trip volume increase in Q2?",
  "category": "companies",
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "uber",
    "ridesharing",
    "q2-metrics",
    "earnings-report",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 12,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 54562,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →