Will Trump attempt to fire Powell as Federal Reserve Chair or Governor? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

kalshi 3 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board…	2027-01-01	13.0%	$3	$6.7K	A	`KXTRYFIREPOW…OV2`
Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board…	2027-01-01	1.0%	—	$1.4K	A	`KXTRYFIREPOW…OV1`
Will the President try to fire the Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board…	2027-01-01	1.0%	—	$1.9K	A	`KXTRYFIREPOW…N01`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	ABC	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 3 markets · share this text

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A "try to fire" includes any of the following: The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal The following do NOT qualify: Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC"

recent wire items

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtryfirepowell-26may12/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtryfirepowell-26may12.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtryfirepowell-26may12")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TMHG8WLK69",
  "slug": "kxtryfirepowell-26may12",
  "question": "Will Trump attempt to fire Powell as Federal Reserve Chair or Governor?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-fed-chair",
    "powell-removal",
    "federal-reserve-politics",
    "us-executive-power",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 9962,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 88,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ABC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →