Will Trump make at least one Truth Social post between May 31 and June 6? [ resolves 2026-09-04 (93D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 80 | 2026-09-04 | 1.0% | $1 | $50 | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…T80 | ||
| 99 | 2026-09-04 | 1.0% | $1 | $79 | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…B89 | ||
| 119 | 2026-09-04 | 1.0% | $11 | $63 | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…109 | ||
| 139 | 2026-09-04 | 1.0% | $20 | $61 | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…129 | ||
| 159 | 2026-09-04 | 3.0% | $116 | $294 | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…149 | ||
| 179 | 2026-09-04 | 6.0% | $139 | $380 | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…169 | ||
| 199 | 2026-09-04 | 13.0% | $121 | $813 | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…189 | ||
| ≥ 220 | 2026-09-04 | 51.0% | $1.4K | $4.6K | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…220 | ||
| 220 | 2026-09-04 | 26.0% | $288 | $1.6K | C | KXTRUTHSOCIA…210 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Roll Call | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes.
The observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on May 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Jun 6, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included only if captured by Roll Call. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time will not be included. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Roll Call" ↗ recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtruthsocial-26jun06/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtruthsocial-26jun06.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtruthsocial-26jun06") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JKXWMT2330",
"slug": "kxtruthsocial-26jun06",
"question": "Will Trump make at least one Truth Social post between May 31 and June 6?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-social-media",
"truth-social",
"weekly-activity",
"us-politics",
"behavioral-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7989,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 78,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Roll Call",
"resolution_source_url": "https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/?platform=truth+social&sort=date&sort_order=desc&page=1",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}