How many FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend? [ resolved 2026-07-20 ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 3 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season | 2026-07-20 | 100.0% | $9.6K | $10K | C | KXTRUMPWORLD…T-1 | ||
| How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season | 2026-07-20 | 0.0% | $2.2K | $2.3K | C | KXTRUMPWORLD…T-2 | ||
| How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season | 2026-07-20 | 0.0% | $639 | $713 | C | KXTRUMPWORLD…T-3 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | person | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump attends at least 1 2026 FIFA World Cup matches, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "person" sources (14)
- person venue-listed
- event official website and social media accounts venue-listed
- official event broadcasts and production credits venue-listed
- NBC Sports venue-listed
- Sports Illustrated venue-listed
- verified venue security footage or access logs released publicly venue-listed
- ESPN venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- The Athletic venue-listed
- CBS Sports venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- Fox Sports venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | kalshi | 2026-07-20 | 0% |
| NO | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | kalshi | 2026-07-20 | 0% |
| YES | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | kalshi | 2026-07-20 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpworldcup-26-djt/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpworldcup-26-djt |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpworldcup-26-djt") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9R826GL2Y1",
"slug": "kxtrumpworldcup-26-djt",
"question": "How many FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"world-cup-2026",
"trump-attendance",
"sports-politics",
"binary-outcome",
"event-presence"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13067,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 43,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "person",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "person",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "event official website and social media accounts",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official event broadcasts and production credits",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC Sports",
"url": "https://www.nbcsports.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Sports Illustrated",
"url": "https://www.si.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "verified venue security footage or access logs released publicly",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ESPN",
"url": "https://www.espn.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Athletic",
"url": "https://theathletic.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS Sports",
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox Sports",
"url": "https://www.foxsports.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}