Will the Supreme Court rule that the President can fire FTC Commissioners at will? [ resolves 2027-08-01 (424D) ]

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Slaughter

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

kalshi 1 market

market	resolves	P(YES)		vol (24h)	vol (cum)		RCG	venue id
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Slaughter	2027-08-01	90.2%		$138	$40K		A	`KXTRUMPVSLAUGHTER`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Supreme Court	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 1 market · share this text

If the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935) such that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will, after Issuance and before the August 1, 2027. The market resolves to No if the Supreme Court affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision before August 1, 2027, the market also resolves to No.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Supreme Court"

recent wire items

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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpvslaughter/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpvslaughter.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpvslaughter")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VVFT7XSY97",
  "slug": "kxtrumpvslaughter",
  "question": "Will the Supreme Court rule that the President can fire FTC Commissioners at will?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "supreme-court",
    "trump-administration",
    "ftc",
    "executive-power",
    "removal-authority"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 40023,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Supreme Court",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.supremecourt.gov",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →