Will Trump make a late night post during the week of June 7-13? [ resolved 2026-06-13 ]
Will Trump post on Truth Social between 1:00 AM and 1:59 AM ET this week?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:00 AM and 5:59 | 2026-06-08 | 100.0% | — | $2.5K | A | KXTRUMPTIME-…-H5 | ||
| 2:00 AM and 2:59 | 2026-06-09 | 100.0% | — | $4.7K | A | KXTRUMPTIME-…-H2 | ||
| 1:00 AM and 1:59 | 2026-06-13 | 0.0% | $94 | $140 | A | KXTRUMPTIME-…-H1 | ||
| 3:00 AM and 3:59 | 2026-06-13 | 0.0% | $7 | $59 | A | KXTRUMPTIME-…-H3 | ||
| 4:00 AM and 4:59 | 2026-06-13 | 0.0% | $22 | $52 | A | KXTRUMPTIME-…-H4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Truth Social | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 1:00 AM to 1:59 AM ET on any day from Jun 7, 2026 through Jun 13, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each hour interval is inclusive: "1:00 AM to 1:59 AM" means 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM. Deleted posts qualify for the purposes of this market.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Truth Social" sources (1) · single authority
- Truth Social source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Trump post on Truth Social between 4:00 AM and 4:59 AM ET this week? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump post on Truth Social between 3:00 AM and 3:59 AM ET this week? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump post on Truth Social between 1:00 AM and 1:59 AM ET this week? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump post on Truth Social between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET this week? | kalshi | 2026-06-09 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump post on Truth Social between 5:00 AM and 5:59 AM ET this week? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumptime-26jun13/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumptime-26jun13 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumptime-26jun13") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-NRXP4NDZC9",
"slug": "kxtrumptime-26jun13",
"question": "Will Trump make a late night post during the week of June 7-13?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-social-media",
"late-night-behavior",
"political-activity",
"truth-social",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7421,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Truth Social",
"resolution_source_url": "https://truthsocial.com",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Truth Social",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Truth Social",
"url": "https://truthsocial.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}