CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Donald Trump make a late night post between May 31 and June 6? [ resolves 2026-06-06 (3D) ]

Will Trump post on Truth Social between 5:00 AM and 5:59 AM ET this week?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 5 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Trump post on Truth Social between 1:00 AM and 1:59 AM ET this week 2026-06-06 99.0%
$1 $5.5K
A KXTRUMPTIME-…-H1
Will Trump post on Truth Social between 3:00 AM and 3:59 AM ET this week 2026-06-06 83.0%
$222 $322
A KXTRUMPTIME-…-H3
Will Trump post on Truth Social between 5:00 AM and 5:59 AM ET this week 2026-06-06 45.0%
$112
A KXTRUMPTIME-…-H5
Will Trump post on Truth Social between 2:00 AM and 2:59 AM ET this week 2026-06-06 43.0%
$4 $258
A KXTRUMPTIME-…-H2
Will Trump post on Truth Social between 4:00 AM and 4:59 AM ET this week 2026-06-06 27.0%
$1
A KXTRUMPTIME-…-H4
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Truth Social not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 5 markets · share this text
If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 1:00 AM to 1:59 AM ET on any day from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes. Each hour interval is inclusive: "1:00 AM to 1:59 AM" means 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM. Deleted posts qualify for the purposes of this market.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Truth Social"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumptime-26jun06/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumptime-26jun06.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumptime-26jun06")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7P7NZJPCC4",
  "slug": "kxtrumptime-26jun06",
  "question": "Will Donald Trump make a late night post between May 31 and June 6?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-social-media",
    "late-night-posting",
    "truth-social",
    "2026",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6210,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 88,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Truth Social",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://truthsocial.com",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →