Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Aug 1, 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Jul 20, 2026?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or… | 2027-01-01 | 88.0% | — | $45 | A | KXTRUMPPASSP…N01 | ||
| Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or… | 2027-01-01 | 85.0% | — | $0 | A | KXTRUMPPASSP…P01 | ||
| Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or… | 2027-01-01 | 65.0% | — | $5.7K | A | KXTRUMPPASSP…G01 | ||
| Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or… | 2027-01-01 | 59.0% | — | $371 | A | KXTRUMPPASSP…L20 | ||
| Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or… | 2027-01-01 | 38.0% | $82 | $2.5K | A | KXTRUMPPASSP…L04 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Washington Post | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumppassport-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumppassport-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumppassport-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-V9X0KCKYZ7",
"slug": "kxtrumppassport-26",
"question": "Will it be reported that the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face before Aug 1, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-passport",
"us-state-department",
"political-merchandise",
"2026",
"identity-document"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8612,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}