CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Donald Trump meet in person Claudia Sheinbaum before Jan 1, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]

kalshi: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 25 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Joe Rogan 2027-01-01 99.9%
$31K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…ROG
Claudia Sheinbaum 2027-01-01 99.8%
$19K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…SHE
Xi Jinping 2027-01-01 99.8%
$66K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…JIN
Ahmed al-Sharaa 2027-01-01 99.7%
$17K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…ALS
Mark Carney 2027-01-01 99.0%
$4.3K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…CAR
Kevin Warsh 2027-01-01 99.0%
$1.2K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…WAR
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 2027-01-01 99.0%
$1.8K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…ERD
Mark Zuckerberg 2027-01-01 98.1%
$13K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…ZUC
Sam Altman 2027-01-01 97.1%
$9.5K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…ALT
Lionel Messi 2027-01-01 95.0%
$4.6K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…MES
Andy Burnham 2027-01-01 94.0%
$1
B KXTRUMPMEETI…BUR
Mohammed bin Salman 2027-01-01 68.0%
$5.5K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…MBS
Abelardo de la Espriella 2027-01-01 66.0%
$78
B KXTRUMPMEETI…ESP
Peter Thiel 2027-01-01 38.0%
$1 $2.4K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…THI
Vladimir Putin 2027-01-01 30.0%
$12 $5.5K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…PUT
Pope Leo XIV 2027-01-01 21.0%
$6.3K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…XIV
Reza Pahlavi 2027-01-01 16.0%
$39 $2.2K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…PAH
Jerome Powell 2027-01-01 14.0%
$1.5K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…POW
Bill Clinton 2027-01-01 14.0%
$99
B KXTRUMPMEETI…CLI
Kim Jong Un 2027-01-01 13.0%
$2.1K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…KJU
Marjorie Taylor Greene 2027-01-01 13.0%
$375
B KXTRUMPMEETI…MTG
Gavin Newsom 2027-01-01 13.0%
$2 $759
B KXTRUMPMEETI…NEW
Tim Walz 2027-01-01 11.0%
$114
B KXTRUMPMEETI…WAL
Nicolás Maduro 2027-01-01 10.0%
$4.9K
B KXTRUMPMEETI…MAD
Lai Ching-te 2027-01-01 6.0%
$60
B KXTRUMPMEETI…CHI
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff The Washington Post not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 25 markets · share this text
If Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying meeting must satisfy the following: both persons must be present (physically or virtually, as specified by <meet>) and engage in communication or interaction—mere presence in the same location without interaction does not constitute a meeting unless otherwise specified. The meeting must be confirmed by at least one Source Agency through official statement, press release, credible media report, or other documented evidence. The meeting must occur at any point during the time period; for meetings that span across the boundary of the time period, any portion of the meeting occurring within the time period is sufficient. Coincidental encounters without purposeful engagement (e.g., passing in a hallway without acknowledgment) do not count. Communication via intermediaries, written letters, or social media do not count unless specified.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post"
sources (17) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will Donald Trump meet in person Lionel Messi before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-07-19 95%
YES Will Donald Trump meet in person Claudia Sheinbaum before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-07-19 100%
YES Will Donald Trump meet in person Ahmed al-Sharaa before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-07-08 100%
YES Will Donald Trump meet in person Recep Tayyip Erdoğan before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-07-07 99%
YES Will Donald Trump meet in person Sam Altman before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-06-17 97%
YES Will Donald Trump meet in person Mark Carney before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-06-16 99%
YES Will Donald Trump meet in person Mark Zuckerberg before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-06-15 98%
YES Will Donald Trump meet in person Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027? kalshi 2026-05-22 99%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WY1J5J92Q7",
  "slug": "kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Donald Trump meet in person Claudia Sheinbaum before Jan 1, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "donald-trump",
    "political-meetings",
    "international-relations",
    "2027",
    "geopolitics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 25,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 200358,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 74,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "The White House",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The White House",
      "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "BBC",
      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC News",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNBC",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "POLITICO",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Financial Times",
      "url": "https://www.ft.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg",
      "url": "https://bloomberg.org",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS News",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →