Will Donald Trump meet in person Xi Jinping before Jan 1, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will Donald Trump meet in person Vladimir Putin before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 22 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Joe Rogan before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $31K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ROG | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Xi Jinping before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 99.8% | — | $66K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…JIN | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $1.2K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…WAR | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Mark Carney before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 93.1% | — | $2.2K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…CAR | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Mohammed bin Salman before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 80.0% | — | $5.9K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…MBS | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Sam Altman before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 79.0% | — | $3.4K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ALT | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Mark Zuckerberg before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 76.0% | — | $3.8K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ZUC | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Ahmed al-Sharaa before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 72.0% | $276 | $7.3K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ALS | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Recep Tayyip Erdoğan before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 69.0% | — | $221 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ERD | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Claudia Sheinbaum before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 68.0% | — | $8.6K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…SHE | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Vladimir Putin before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 48.0% | $5 | $6.3K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…PUT | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Peter Thiel before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 47.0% | $1 | $2.4K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…THI | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Pope Leo XIV before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 27.0% | $2 | $7.5K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…XIV | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Reza Pahlavi before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 27.0% | — | $3.2K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…PAH | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Jerome Powell before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 23.0% | — | $2.4K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…POW | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Kim Jong Un before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | $1 | $2.8K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…KJU | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Gavin Newsom before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | $2 | $1.1K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…NEW | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Bill Clinton before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | — | $73 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…CLI | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Marjorie Taylor Greene before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | $1 | $397 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…MTG | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Tim Walz before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | — | $102 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…WAL | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Nicolás Maduro before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 9.9% | — | $4.7K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…MAD | ||
| Will Donald Trump meet in person Lai Ching-te before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $0 | $65 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…CHI |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Washington Post | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying meeting must satisfy the following: both persons must be present (physically or virtually, as specified) and engage in communication or interaction—mere presence in the same location without interaction does not constitute a meeting unless otherwise specified. The meeting must be confirmed by at least one Source Agency through official statement, press release, credible media report, or other documented evidence. The meeting must occur at any point during the time period; for meetings that span across the boundary of the time period, any portion of the meeting occurring within the time period is sufficient. Coincidental encounters without purposeful engagement (e.g., passing in a hallway without acknowledgment) do not count. Communication via intermediaries, written letters, or social media do not count unless specified.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WY1J5J92Q7",
"slug": "kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01",
"question": "Will Donald Trump meet in person Xi Jinping before Jan 1, 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-meetings",
"political-figures",
"2027-resolution",
"international-diplomacy",
"person-specific"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 22,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 161393,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}