Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet in 2026? (multi-deadline series) [ resolved 2026-07-01 ]
Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet before Jul 1, 2026?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2026-06-01 | 100.0% | — | $1.9K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…NET | ||
| Keir Starmer | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $605 | $1.5K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…STA | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | — | $3.1K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…ZEL | ||
| Vladimir Putin | 2026-06-15 | 100.0% | $85 | $870 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…PUT | ||
| Mark Carney | 2026-06-16 | 100.0% | $687 | $1.4K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…CAR | ||
| Narendra Modi | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $84 | $1.0K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…MOD | ||
| John Thune | 2026-06-24 | 100.0% | — | $256 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…THU | ||
| Delcy Rodriguez | 2026-06-26 | 100.0% | — | $12 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…ROD | ||
| Xi Jinping | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $34 | $1.2K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…JIN | ||
| Reza Pahlavi | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $0 | $50 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…PAH | ||
| Jensen Huang | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $1.8K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…HUA | ||
| Hakeem Jeffries | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $25 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…JEF | ||
| Lai Ching-te | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $17 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…CHI | ||
| Gavin Newsom | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $4 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…NEW | ||
| Zohran Mamdani | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $19 | $1.6K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…MAM | ||
| María Corina Machado | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $18 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…MCM | ||
| Jerome Powell | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $7 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…POW | ||
| Chuck Schumer | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $23 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…SCH | ||
| Ron DeSantis | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $15 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…DES | ||
| Mohammed bin Salman | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $3.3K | $5.2K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…MBS | ||
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $616 | $1.5K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…ERD |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Washington Post | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet (including phone calls) before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A meeting is defined as any of the following:
An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location
A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time
A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other
Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time
The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive):
Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences
Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies
Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings
Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented
Home visits or meetings at non-official locations
The following do NOT qualify as meetings:
Being present at the same event without direct interaction
Exchanging written correspondence
Communication through intermediaries without direct contact
Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication
Meetings cancelled after being scheduled
Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post" sources (21) · single authority
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- official social media accounts verified by the platform source of record venue-listed
- official press release distribution services venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- photographic or video evidence from accredited media organizations venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- official government websites venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- official readouts from relevant governments or organizations venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Chuck Schumer meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Jerome Powell meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and María Corina Machado meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Gavin Newsom meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Lai Ching-te meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Hakeem Jeffries meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Jensen Huang meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Reza Pahlavi meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| YES | Donald Trump and Delcy Rodriguez meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-26 | 100% |
| YES | Donald Trump and John Thune meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-24 | 100% |
| YES | Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| YES | Donald Trump and Mark Carney meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 100% |
| YES | Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 100% |
| YES | Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu meet before Jul 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-01 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (21 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpmeet-26jun/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpmeet-26jun |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpmeet-26jun") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZD3ST0T7T1",
"slug": "kxtrumpmeet-26jun",
"question": "Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"donald-trump",
"political-figures",
"june-2026",
"social-interactions",
"prediction-market"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 21439,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official social media accounts verified by the platform",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official social media accounts verified by the platform",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official press release distribution services",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "photographic or video evidence from accredited media organizations",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official government websites",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official readouts from relevant governments or organizations",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}