CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet in 2026? (multi-deadline series) [ resolved 2026-07-01 ]

Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet before Jul 1, 2026?

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 21 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Benjamin Netanyahu 2026-06-01 100.0%
$1.9K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…NET
Keir Starmer 2026-06-15 100.0%
$605 $1.5K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…STA
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 2026-06-15 100.0%
$3.1K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…ZEL
Vladimir Putin 2026-06-15 100.0%
$85 $870
C KXTRUMPMEET-…PUT
Mark Carney 2026-06-16 100.0%
$687 $1.4K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…CAR
Narendra Modi 2026-06-17 100.0%
$84 $1.0K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…MOD
John Thune 2026-06-24 100.0%
$256
C KXTRUMPMEET-…THU
Delcy Rodriguez 2026-06-26 100.0%
$12
C KXTRUMPMEET-…ROD
Xi Jinping 2026-07-01 0.0%
$34 $1.2K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…JIN
Reza Pahlavi 2026-07-01 0.0%
$0 $50
C KXTRUMPMEET-…PAH
Jensen Huang 2026-07-01 0.0%
$1.8K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…HUA
Hakeem Jeffries 2026-07-01 0.0%
$25
C KXTRUMPMEET-…JEF
Lai Ching-te 2026-07-01 0.0%
$17
C KXTRUMPMEET-…CHI
Gavin Newsom 2026-07-01 0.0%
$4
C KXTRUMPMEET-…NEW
Zohran Mamdani 2026-07-01 0.0%
$19 $1.6K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…MAM
María Corina Machado 2026-07-01 0.0%
$18
C KXTRUMPMEET-…MCM
Jerome Powell 2026-07-01 0.0%
$7
C KXTRUMPMEET-…POW
Chuck Schumer 2026-07-01 0.0%
$23
C KXTRUMPMEET-…SCH
Ron DeSantis 2026-07-01 0.0%
$15
C KXTRUMPMEET-…DES
Mohammed bin Salman 2026-07-01 0.0%
$3.3K $5.2K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…MBS
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 2026-07-01 0.0%
$616 $1.5K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…ERD
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff The Washington Post not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 21 markets · share this text
If Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet (including phone calls) before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post"
sources (21) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Chuck Schumer meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Jerome Powell meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and María Corina Machado meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Gavin Newsom meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Lai Ching-te meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Hakeem Jeffries meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Jensen Huang meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Reza Pahlavi meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
NO Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 0%
YES Donald Trump and Delcy Rodriguez meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-26 100%
YES Donald Trump and John Thune meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-24 100%
YES Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-17 100%
YES Donald Trump and Mark Carney meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-16 100%
YES Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-15 100%
YES Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu meet before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-06-01 100%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (21 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpmeet-26jun/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpmeet-26jun
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpmeet-26jun")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZD3ST0T7T1",
  "slug": "kxtrumpmeet-26jun",
  "question": "Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "donald-trump",
    "political-figures",
    "june-2026",
    "social-interactions",
    "prediction-market"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 21,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 21439,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 56,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "official social media accounts verified by the platform",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official social media accounts verified by the platform",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official press release distribution services",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "photographic or video evidence from accredited media organizations",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official government websites",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official readouts from relevant governments or organizations",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →