Will Trump endorse a candidate in the 2026 primaries by the 2026 primary election? [ resolves 2026-09-15 (104D) ]
Will Donald Trump endorse Mike Lindell in Minnesota gubernatorial race before Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump endorse Andy Barr in the 2026 Kentucky Senate Republican… | 2026-09-15 | 99.0% | — | $47K | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…BAR | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial… | 2026-09-15 | 68.0% | — | $4.9K | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…BLA | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Mike Lindell in Minnesota gubernatorial race before… | 2026-09-15 | 39.0% | $5 | $84 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…LIN | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse John Rose in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial… | 2026-09-15 | 16.0% | — | $185 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…ROS | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Spencer Pratt in Los Angeles mayoral race before Jun… | 2026-09-15 | 3.0% | $33 | $394 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…PRA | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse John Fleming in the 2026 Louisiana Senate Republican… | 2026-09-15 | 1.0% | — | $49 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…FLE | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Blake Miguez in the 2026 Louisiana Senate Republican… | 2026-09-15 | 1.0% | — | $70 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…MIG | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Derek Dooley in the 2026 Georgia Senate Republican… | 2026-09-15 | 0.1% | — | $8 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…DOO | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Buddy Carter in the 2026 Georgia Senate Republican… | 2026-09-15 | 0.1% | — | $5 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…CAR | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate Republican… | 2026-09-15 | 0.1% | — | $8 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…COL | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Daniel Cameron in the 2026 Kentucky Senate Republican… | 2026-09-15 | 0.1% | — | $10 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…CAM | ||
| Will Donald Trump endorse Nate Morris in the 2026 Kentucky Senate Republican… | 2026-09-15 | 0.1% | — | $14 | C | KXTRUMPENDOR…MOR |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump publicly endorses Derek Dooley in the 2026 Georgia Senate Republican primary before May 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.
platform source field
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpendorse-26sep15/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpendorse-26sep15.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpendorse-26sep15") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-LF76ZFFH05",
"slug": "kxtrumpendorse-26sep15",
"question": "Will Trump endorse a candidate in the 2026 primaries by the 2026 primary election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-endorsement",
"2026-midterms",
"republican-primary",
"us-politics",
"candidate-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 52801,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}