Donald Trump approval rating, December 31, 2026 (above threshold) [ resolves 2027-01-07 (218D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 43% | 2027-01-07 | 25.0% | $2 | $7.8K | C | KXTRUMPAPPRO…-43 | ||
| ≥ 44% | 2027-01-07 | 20.0% | $6 | $4.1K | C | KXTRUMPAPPRO…-44 | ||
| ≥ 45% | 2027-01-07 | 16.0% | $1 | $1.4K | C | KXTRUMPAPPRO…-45 | ||
| ≥ 46% | 2027-01-07 | 12.0% | — | $697 | C | KXTRUMPAPPRO…-46 | ||
| ≥ 47% | 2027-01-07 | 6.0% | $6 | $932 | C | KXTRUMPAPPRO…-47 | ||
| ≥ 48% | 2027-01-07 | 5.6% | $4 | $167 | C | KXTRUMPAPPRO…-48 | ||
| ≥ 49% | 2027-01-07 | 8.2% | — | $253 | C | KXTRUMPAPPRO…-49 | ||
| ≥ 50% | 2027-01-07 | 4.0% | — | $688 | C | KXTRUMPAPPRO…-50 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | uncommitted | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpapprovalyear-26dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpapprovalyear-26dec31.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpapprovalyear-26dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-VWW9FTFB33",
"slug": "kxtrumpapprovalyear-26dec31",
"question": "Donald Trump approval rating, December 31, 2026 (above threshold)",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-approval",
"us-politics",
"polling-metrics",
"2027",
"sentiment-tracking"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 16025,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 59,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}