Truflation EV Commodity Index, June 12, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-12 ]

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 15 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
> 1139.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$996	$996	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1149.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$1.2K	$1.2K	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1159.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$1.6K	$1.6K	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1169.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$1.6K	$1.6K	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1179.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$2.0K	$2.0K	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1189.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$2.4K	$1.9K	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1199.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$1.6K	$1.6K	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1209.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$684	$684	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1219.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$390	$390	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1229.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$525	$525	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1239.20	2026-06-12	100.0%	$1.2K	$1.2K	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1249.20	2026-06-12	0.0%	$54	$54	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1259.20	2026-06-12	0.0%	$2	$2	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1269.20	2026-06-12	0.0%	$1	$1	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`
> 1279.20	2026-06-12	0.0%	$4	$4	C	`KXTRUEV-26JU….20`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Truflation	link	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 15 markets · share this text

If the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 is above 1139.20, then the market resolves to Yes.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Truflation" ↗

sources (1) · single authority

Truflation source of record venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1139.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1149.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1159.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1169.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1179.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1189.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1199.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1209.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1219.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1229.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
YES	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1239.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`100%`
NO	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1249.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`0%`
NO	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1259.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`0%`
NO	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1269.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`0%`
NO	Will the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 1279.20?	kalshi	`2026-06-13`	`0%`

Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (15 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtruev-26jun12/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtruev-26jun12`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtruev-26jun12")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NY149QQL83",
  "slug": "kxtruev-26jun12",
  "question": "Truflation EV Commodity Index, June 12, 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "ev-commodities",
    "truflation-index",
    "price-prediction",
    "economics",
    "2026",
    "energy-transition"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 15,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 13870,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_committed_secondhand"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Truflation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://truflation.com/marketplace/ev-index",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Truflation",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Truflation",
      "url": "https://truflation.com/marketplace/ev-index",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →