Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? [ resolves 2027-01-02 (163D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 13 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI | 2027-01-02 | 37.0% | $121 | $39K | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…PEN | ||
| XAI | 2027-01-02 | 21.0% | $151 | $16K | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…XAI | ||
| Moonshot AI | 2027-01-02 | 21.0% | $152 | $722 | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…OON | ||
| Meta | 2027-01-02 | 15.0% | $5 | $4.8K | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…ETA | ||
| Alibaba | 2027-01-02 | 10.0% | $101 | $1.2K | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…LIB | ||
| 01A1 | 2027-01-02 | 9.0% | — | $47 | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…1A1 | ||
| Nvidia | 2027-01-02 | 8.0% | $12 | $2.6K | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…VID | ||
| Deepseek | 2027-01-02 | 5.0% | — | $1.0K | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…EPP | ||
| Baidu | 2027-01-02 | 4.0% | — | $458 | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…AID | ||
| ByteDance | 2027-01-02 | 4.0% | — | $57 | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…YTE | ||
| Mistral | 2027-01-02 | 3.0% | $1 | $84 | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…IST | ||
| Z.ai | 2027-01-02 | 2.0% | — | $41 | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…ZAI | ||
| Zhipu AI | 2027-01-02 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXTOPAI-27-J…HIP |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | LMSYS | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtopai-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtopai-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtopai-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Y00QJ49L42",
"slug": "kxtopai-27",
"question": "Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"ai-model-rankings",
"tech-companies",
"artificial-intelligence",
"2027",
"competitive-benchmarks"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 66575,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "LMSYS",
"resolution_source_url": "https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "LMSYS",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "LMSYS",
"url": "https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}