CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Tesla Semi Trucks produced, before January 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 7 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 0 2027-01-01 97.0%
$18K
C KXTESLASEMI-…N-0
≥ 1,000 2027-01-01 58.0%
$32K
C KXTESLASEMI-…000
≥ 5,000 2027-01-01 16.0%
$6.2K
C KXTESLASEMI-…000
≥ 10,000 2027-01-01 8.0%
$486
C KXTESLASEMI-…000
≥ 15,000 2027-01-01 8.0%
$107
C KXTESLASEMI-…000
≥ 20,000 2027-01-01 7.0%
$27
C KXTESLASEMI-…000
≥ 25,000 2027-01-01 2.0%
$10
C KXTESLASEMI-…000
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff uncommitted not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 7 markets · share this text
If Tesla Inc reports above 0 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxteslasemi-27jan/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxteslasemi-27jan.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxteslasemi-27jan")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XRD1K0SKG6",
  "slug": "kxteslasemi-27jan",
  "question": "Tesla Semi Trucks produced, before January 2027",
  "category": "companies",
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "tesla-semi",
    "production-volume",
    "quarterly-metric",
    "automotive-manufacturing",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 7,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 56844,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 78,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →