Tesla Semi Trucks produced, before January 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 0 | 2027-01-01 | 86.0% | $640 | $18K | C | KXTESLASEMI-…N-0 | ||
| > 1000 | 2027-01-01 | 42.0% | $543 | $28K | C | KXTESLASEMI-…000 | ||
| > 5000 | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | $0 | $4.8K | C | KXTESLASEMI-…000 | ||
| > 10000 | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $425 | C | KXTESLASEMI-…000 | ||
| > 15000 | 2027-01-01 | 5.0% | — | $120 | C | KXTESLASEMI-…000 | ||
| > 20000 | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $54 | C | KXTESLASEMI-…000 | ||
| > 25000 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $51 | C | KXTESLASEMI-…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | company | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Tesla Inc reports above 0 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "company" sources (15) · single authority
- company venue-listed
- Fox Business venue-listed
- MarketWatch venue-listed
- federal government financial regulatory authorities venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- official investor relations website of company source of record venue-listed
- Yahoo Finance venue-listed
- Seeking Alpha venue-listed
- Barron's venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- CNBC venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- Financial Times venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxteslasemi-27jan/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxteslasemi-27jan |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxteslasemi-27jan") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-XRD1K0SKG6",
"slug": "kxteslasemi-27jan",
"question": "Tesla Semi Trucks produced, before January 2027",
"category": "companies",
"tags": [
"companies",
"tesla-semi",
"production-volume",
"quarterly-metric",
"automotive-manufacturing",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 50744,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "company",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official investor relations website of company",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "company",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox Business",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MarketWatch",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "federal government financial regulatory authorities",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official investor relations website of company",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Yahoo Finance",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Seeking Alpha",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Barron's",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://www.ft.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}