Will Trump impose tariffs on specific sectors in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on wind turbines, where the executive action must explicitly reference wind turbines in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 5 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on…	2027-01-01	95.0%	—	$13K	A	`KXTARIFFSECT…HAR`
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on wind…	2027-01-01	42.0%	—	$4.9K	A	`KXTARIFFSECT…IND`
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on…	2027-01-01	29.0%	$4	$1.1K	A	`KXTARIFFSECT…INE`
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on…	2027-01-01	17.0%	—	$1.2K	A	`KXTARIFFSECT…CAN`
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on…	2027-01-01	14.0%	$1	$35	A	`KXTARIFFSECT…ILM`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	the White House	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 5 markets · share this text

If the President of the United States has taken any executive action in 2026 imposing tariffs specifically on pharmaceuticals, where the executive action must explicitly reference pharmaceuticals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) and set an effective date, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the issuance of an executive action, independent of the effective date or whether the tariffs are subsequently implemented. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "the White House"

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtariffsector-27jan01/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtariffsector-27jan01.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtariffsector-27jan01")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YH6B0KCSV8",
  "slug": "kxtariffsector-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Trump impose tariffs on specific sectors in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-tariffs",
    "2026-us-policy",
    "trade-policy",
    "sector-specific",
    "executive-action"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 19877,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 88,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "the White House",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →