Will someone successfully take over Warner Brothers? [ resolves 2027-07-01 (393D) ]

Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

kalshi 3 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027	2027-07-01	85.0%	$6.9K	$1.25M	B	`KXTAKEOVERAC…SKY`
Will None's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027	2027-07-01	15.0%	$433	$105K	B	`KXTAKEOVERAC…ONE`
Will Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027	2027-07-01	3.0%	$145	$39K	B	`KXTAKEOVERAC…FLX`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Financial Times	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 3 markets · share this text

If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest (>50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived. Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify. Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria. If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes. The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Financial Times"

recent wire items

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-27PSS0BZX6",
  "slug": "kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30",
  "question": "Will someone successfully take over Warner Brothers?",
  "category": "companies",
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "corporate-acquisition",
    "warner-brothers",
    "entertainment-industry",
    "mergers-and-acquisitions",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 1392750,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Financial Times",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.ft.com",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →