Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-01 | 43.0% | — | $8.3K | C | KXSYRIA-26-27 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The New York Times | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the United States announces the opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Syria after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The embassy or consulate must either be opened or have a confirmed opening date. Re-opening an embassy after suspended operations also qualifies.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The New York Times" sources (1)
- The New York Times venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsyria-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsyria-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsyria-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GZWF9TJR07",
"slug": "kxsyria-26",
"question": "Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-foreign-policy",
"syria-relations",
"diplomatic-reopening",
"middle-east",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8340,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 61,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "The New York Times",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}