Will SpaceX be assigned to the aerospace and defense sector? [ resolved 2026-06-18 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Communication Services | 2026-06-18 | 100.0% | $9.3K | $108K | C | KXSPACEXSECT…ICA | ||
| Energy | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | $3 | $33 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…RGY | ||
| Materials | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | — | $24 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…ALS | ||
| Industrials | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | $398 | $2.5K | C | KXSPACEXSECT…RIA | ||
| Consumer Discretionary | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | — | $19 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…ERD | ||
| Consumer Staples | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | — | $21 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…ERS | ||
| Health Care | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | $0 | $44 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…CAR | ||
| Financials | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | — | $11 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…IAL | ||
| Information Technology | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | $13 | $208 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…ATI | ||
| Utilities | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | $17 | $54 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…IES | ||
| Real Estate | 2026-06-18 | 0.0% | — | $23 | C | KXSPACEXSECT…TAT |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | S&P Global | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If SpaceX is assigned to the Energy sector, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "S&P Global" ↗ sources (1)
- S&P Global source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Energy? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Materials? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Industrials? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Consumer Discretionary? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Consumer Staples? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Health Care? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Financials? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Information Technology? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| YES | Will SpaceX be assigned to Communication Services? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 100% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Utilities? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX be assigned to Real Estate? | kalshi | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (11 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxspacexsector-x/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxspacexsector-x |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxspacexsector-x") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-6JW4DSWRQ1",
"slug": "kxspacexsector-x",
"question": "Will SpaceX be assigned to the aerospace and defense sector?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"spacex-sector-classification",
"corporate-classification",
"aerospace-defense",
"energy-sector",
"regulatory-categorization"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 110502,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "S&P Global",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.spglobal.com/en",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "S&P Global",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "S&P Global",
"url": "https://www.spglobal.com/en",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}