SpaceX launches, 2026 [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 10 | 2026-06-30 | 96.0% | $4.3K | $7.1K | A | KXSPACEXCOUN…-10 | ||
| ≥ 11 | 2026-06-30 | 70.0% | $2.7K | $3.0K | A | KXSPACEXCOUN…-11 | ||
| ≥ 12 | 2026-06-30 | 46.0% | $2.4K | $4.4K | A | KXSPACEXCOUN…-12 | ||
| ≥ 13 | 2026-06-30 | 20.0% | $1.3K | $2.1K | A | KXSPACEXCOUN…-13 | ||
| ≥ 14 | 2026-06-30 | 8.0% | $767 | $1.2K | A | KXSPACEXCOUN…-14 | ||
| ≥ 15 | 2026-06-30 | 2.0% | $115 | $132 | A | KXSPACEXCOUN…-15 | ||
| ≥ 16 | 2026-06-30 | 2.0% | $18 | $29 | A | KXSPACEXCOUN…-16 | ||
| ≥ 18 | 2026-06-30 | 2.0% | $48 | $58 | A | KXSPACEXCOUN…-18 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Federal Aviation Administration | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Federal Aviation Administration" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxspacexcount-26jun/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxspacexcount-26jun.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxspacexcount-26jun") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-85TRWRRMV9",
"slug": "kxspacexcount-26jun",
"question": "SpaceX launches, 2026",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"spacex-launches",
"space-exploration",
"quantitative-outcome",
"june-2026",
"commercial-spaceflight"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 18067,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 96,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Federal Aviation Administration",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data/launches/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}