CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Solana price, January 1, 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 8 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $150 2027-01-01 17.0%
$101 $8.2K
A KXSOLMAXY-27…150
≥ $160 2027-01-01 14.0%
$141 $5.3K
A KXSOLMAXY-27…160
≥ $170 2027-01-01 17.0%
$7.3K
A KXSOLMAXY-27…170
≥ $180 2027-01-01 9.0%
$99 $3.0K
A KXSOLMAXY-27…180
≥ $190 2027-01-01 11.0%
$2.5K
A KXSOLMAXY-27…190
≥ $200 2027-01-01 12.0%
$3.7K
A KXSOLMAXY-27…200
≥ $250 2027-01-01 10.0%
$2.7K
A KXSOLMAXY-27…250
≥ $300 2027-01-01 9.0%
$2.3K
A KXSOLMAXY-27…300
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff CF Benchmarks not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 8 markets · share this text
If the spot price of Solana is above $150.00 between Jan 1, 2026 and 12:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The spot price of Solana is measured in U.S. dollars according to the CF Solana-Dollar Real Time Index (SOLUSD_RTI). The price is monitored continuously between market issuance and the specified date and time. For resolution, a simple average of the SOLUSD_RTI values for each minute after issuance and prior to the specified time on the date is calculated. For the "above" operator, the price must strictly exceed the threshold value at any point. For the "below" operator, the price must remain strictly less than the threshold throughout the entire period. The market resolves to Yes as soon as the price criterion is met for "above" markets, while "below" markets only resolve after the deadline if price never exceeded the threshold.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsolmaxy-27jan01/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsolmaxy-27jan01.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsolmaxy-27jan01")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L4YY954KX3",
  "slug": "kxsolmaxy-27jan01",
  "question": "Solana price, January 1, 2027",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "solana-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "price-prediction",
    "2027-resolution",
    "blockchain-assets"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 8,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 34929,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →