Solana price, January 1, 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (150D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $150 | 2027-01-01 | 17.0% | $2 | $13K | A | KXSOLMAXY-27…150 | ||
| ≥ $160 | 2027-01-01 | 12.0% | $1 | $6.0K | A | KXSOLMAXY-27…160 | ||
| ≥ $170 | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | $2 | $4.9K | A | KXSOLMAXY-27…170 | ||
| ≥ $180 | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $2.6K | A | KXSOLMAXY-27…180 | ||
| ≥ $190 | 2027-01-01 | 5.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXSOLMAXY-27…190 | ||
| ≥ $200 | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $2.1K | A | KXSOLMAXY-27…200 | ||
| ≥ $250 | 2027-01-01 | 4.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXSOLMAXY-27…250 | ||
| ≥ $300 | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $797 | A | KXSOLMAXY-27…300 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CF Benchmarks | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the spot price of Solana is above $150.00 between Jan 1, 2026 and 12:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The spot price of Solana is measured in U.S. dollars according to the CF Solana-Dollar Real Time Index (SOLUSD_RTI). The price is monitored continuously between market issuance and the specified date and time. For resolution, a simple average of the SOLUSD_RTI values for each minute after issuance and prior to the specified time on the date is calculated. For the "above" operator, the price must strictly exceed the threshold value at any point. For the "below" operator, the price must remain strictly less than the threshold throughout the entire period. The market resolves to Yes as soon as the price criterion is met for "above" markets, while "below" markets only resolve after the deadline if price never exceeded the threshold.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks" sources (2) · single authority
recent wire items
- Solana above $150 before year-end stays below 25 percent Kalshi ladder
- Prediction market ladder prices only 25% on Solana reaching above $150 before January 1, 2027, with spot near $100.83.
- The ladder distribution falls rapidly from 25% at $150 to 17% at $160 and 11% at $170, implying the market sees sub-$150 as the base case.
- A companion Kalshi contract (CM-EVT-1TG94NXKV4) puts only 2% on Solana ending 2026 above $500, consistent with the ladder's bearish upper-end pricing.
- Resolves via the stated ladder mechanism; the $100 current spot level means a 50% price move is needed just to reach the 25% strike.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsolmaxy-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsolmaxy-27jan01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsolmaxy-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-L4YY954KX3",
"slug": "kxsolmaxy-27jan01",
"question": "Solana price, January 1, 2027",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"solana-price",
"crypto-markets",
"price-prediction",
"2027-resolution",
"blockchain-assets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 31381,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks",
"url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CF Solana-Dollar Real Time Index (SOLUSD_RTI)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}