Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Massachusetts? [ resolves 2026-09-15 (104D) ]

Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Massachusetts?

kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 4 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Massachusetts	2026-09-15	77.0%	$174	$18K	B	`KXSENATEMAD-…MAR`
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Massachusetts	2026-09-15	20.0%	$14	$3.9K	B	`KXSENATEMAD-…MOU`
Will Alexander Rikleen be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Massachusetts	2026-09-15	1.5%	—	$8	B	`KXSENATEMAD-…RIK`
Will Ayanna Pressley be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Massachusetts	2026-09-15	1.0%	—	$81	B	`KXSENATEMAD-…PRE`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Republican Party	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 4 markets · share this text

If Ed Markey wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Massachusetts Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenatemad-26/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenatemad-26.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxsenatemad-26")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J620PJQLH6",
  "slug": "kxsenatemad-26",
  "question": "Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Massachusetts?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "massachusetts-senate",
    "democratic-nominee",
    "us-election-2026",
    "primary-election",
    "electoral-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 22213,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 62,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "adversarial_ground_truth"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →