CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Georgia Republican Senate nominee be determined by the 2024 primary election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 9 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 85.0%
$1.6K $325K
A KXSENATEGAR-…COL
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 10.0%
$502 $16K
A KXSENATEGAR-…DOO
Will Buddy Carter be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 0.9%
$353
A KXSENATEGAR-26-BC
Will Marjorie Taylor-Greene be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 0.1%
$20
A KXSENATEGAR-26-MTG
Will Brian Kemp be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 0.1%
$52
A KXSENATEGAR-26-BK
Will Reagan Box be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 0.1%
$4
A KXSENATEGAR-26-RB
Will John King be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 0.1%
$4
A KXSENATEGAR-…KIN
Will Rich McCormick be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 0.1%
$4
A KXSENATEGAR-…MCC
Will Brad Raffensperger be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia 2026-11-03 0.1%
$13
A KXSENATEGAR-…RAF
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Republican Party not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 9 markets · share this text
If Derek Dooley wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Georgia Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenategar-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenategar-26.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsenategar-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T993NRVBH0",
  "slug": "kxsenategar-26",
  "question": "Will the Georgia Republican Senate nominee be determined by the 2024 primary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "georgia-senate",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026-election",
    "us-politics",
    "nomination"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 341395,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 86,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →