CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Ashley Moody be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]

Will Ashley Moody be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 10 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Ashley Moody be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 93.5%
$83 $34K
A KXSENATEFLR-26-AM
Will Ron DeSantis be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 5.0%
$5 $655
A KXSENATEFLR-26-RDS
Will José R. Oliva be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 2.0%
$37
A KXSENATEFLR-26-JO
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 1.6%
$24
A KXSENATEFLR-26-JC
Will Cory Mills be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 1.4%
$128
A KXSENATEFLR-26-CM
Will Jeanette Nuñez be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 1.4%
$15
A KXSENATEFLR-26-JN
Will Ashton Hayward be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 1.0%
$4
A KXSENATEFLR-26-AH
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 1.0%
$6
A KXSENATEFLR-26-CDS
Will Lara Trump be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 1.0%
$249
A KXSENATEFLR-26-LT
Will James Uthmeier be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida 2026-11-03 1.0%
$11
A KXSENATEFLR-26-JU
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Republican Party not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 10 markets · share this text
If Ashton Hayward wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenateflr-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenateflr-26.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsenateflr-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YZ4P8Z2071",
  "slug": "kxsenateflr-26",
  "question": "Will Ashley Moody be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Florida?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-us-senate",
    "florida-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "nomination-race",
    "senate-nominee"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 10,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 35018,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 86,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →