Alabama Democratic Senate nominee? [ resolved 2026-06-17 ]
Will Mark Wheeler be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Alabama?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Wheeler | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $17 | C | KXSENATEALD-…WHE | ||
| Kyle Sweetser | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $12 | C | KXSENATEALD-…SWE | ||
| Doug Jones | 2026-05-20 | 0.0% | — | $75 | C | KXSENATEALD-…JON | ||
| Everett Wess | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $1.2K | $20K | C | KXSENATEALD-…WES | ||
| Dakarai Larriett | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | $20 | $5.5K | C | KXSENATEALD-…LAR |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Mark Wheeler wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Alabama Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
- Republican Party venue-listed
- Democratic Party source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Alabama? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| YES | Will Everett Wess be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Alabama? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| NO | Will Doug Jones be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Alabama? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
| NO | Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Alabama? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
| NO | Will Mark Wheeler be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Alabama? | kalshi | 2026-05-20 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenateald-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenateald-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsenateald-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0QCXWZZPM8",
"slug": "kxsenateald-26",
"question": "Alabama Democratic Senate nominee?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"alabama-senate",
"democratic-nominee",
"2026-election",
"us-politics",
"primary-nomination"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 25930,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 41,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"adversarial_ground_truth"
],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}