CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Marco Rubio visit any countries outside the United States in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]

Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 10 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will the Secretary of State visit China before 2027 2027-01-01 99.5%
$16K
B KXSECSTATEVI…CHI
Will the Secretary of State visit Mexico before 2027 2027-01-01 60.0%
$712
B KXSECSTATEVI…MEX
Will the Secretary of State visit Qatar before 2027 2027-01-01 51.0%
$4.0K
B KXSECSTATEVI…QAT
Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027 2027-01-01 50.0%
$552
B KXSECSTATEVI…SWI
Will the Secretary of State visit Cuba before 2027 2027-01-01 35.0%
$410 $14K
B KXSECSTATEVI…CUB
Will the Secretary of State visit Poland before 2027 2027-01-01 30.0%
$341
B KXSECSTATEVI…POL
Will the Secretary of State visit Oman before 2027 2027-01-01 28.0%
$556
B KXSECSTATEVI…OMA
Will the Secretary of State visit Ukraine before 2027 2027-01-01 25.0%
$993
B KXSECSTATEVI…UKR
Will the Secretary of State visit Venezuela before 2027 2027-01-01 21.0%
$147 $1.1K
B KXSECSTATEVI…VEN
Will the Secretary of State visit Russia before 2027 2027-01-01 16.0%
$1.5K
B KXSECSTATEVI…RUS
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff ABC not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 10 markets · share this text
If the Secretary of State visits China| before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsecstatevisit-27/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsecstatevisit-27.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsecstatevisit-27")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MXYHYBFS41",
  "slug": "kxsecstatevisit-27",
  "question": "Will Marco Rubio visit any countries outside the United States in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "marco-rubio",
    "international-travel",
    "secretary-of-state",
    "2026",
    "us-foreign-policy"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 10,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 39716,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 75,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ABC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →