Which countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 10 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 2027-01-01 | 99.5% | — | $16K | C | KXSECSTATEVI…CHI | ||
| Qatar | 2027-01-01 | 50.0% | — | $4.3K | C | KXSECSTATEVI…QAT | ||
| Switzerland | 2027-01-01 | 47.0% | — | $597 | C | KXSECSTATEVI…SWI | ||
| Mexico | 2027-01-01 | 39.0% | — | $637 | C | KXSECSTATEVI…MEX | ||
| Cuba | 2027-01-01 | 28.0% | — | $12K | C | KXSECSTATEVI…CUB | ||
| Ukraine | 2027-01-01 | 27.0% | — | $1.1K | C | KXSECSTATEVI…UKR | ||
| Venezuela | 2027-01-01 | 27.0% | — | $1.7K | C | KXSECSTATEVI…VEN | ||
| Oman | 2027-01-01 | 25.0% | — | $499 | C | KXSECSTATEVI…OMA | ||
| Poland | 2027-01-01 | 17.0% | — | $210 | C | KXSECSTATEVI…POL | ||
| Russia | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $1.1K | C | KXSECSTATEVI…RUS |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Secretary of State visits Switzerland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" sources (14)
- ABC venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsecstatevisit-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsecstatevisit-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsecstatevisit-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MXYHYBFS41",
"slug": "kxsecstatevisit-27",
"question": "Which countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"marco-rubio",
"state-department",
"international-travel",
"diplomatic-visits",
"2026-2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 37940,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 58,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}