CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Sea Garena have paying users in Q2? [ resolves 2026-09-10 (99D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 10 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 6,000,000 2026-09-10 0.0%
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 60,000,000 2026-09-10 99.0%
$3.4K
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 62,000,000 2026-09-10 98.0%
$1.6K
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 64,000,000 2026-09-10 98.0%
$1.5K
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 66,000,000 2026-09-10 89.0%
$859
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 68,000,000 2026-09-10 89.0%
$805
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 69,000,000 2026-09-10 76.0%
$7
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 70,000,000 2026-09-10 54.0%
$217
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 72,000,000 2026-09-10 23.0%
$288
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
≥ 74,000,000 2026-09-10 19.0%
$155
A KXSE-26AUGQP…000
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Fiscal.ai not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 10 markets · share this text
If Sea Ltd reports above 60000000 garena quarterly paying users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxse-26augqpu/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxse-26augqpu.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxse-26augqpu")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HW7258JRV9",
  "slug": "kxse-26augqpu",
  "question": "Will Sea Garena have paying users in Q2?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "sea-limited",
    "garena-paying-users",
    "q2-2026",
    "financial-metrics",
    "user-engagement"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 10,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 8802,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →