New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States, January 8, 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-08 (169D) ]
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 0 | 2027-01-08 | 24.0% | — | $3.5K | A | KXSCREWWORMC…-A0 | ||
| > 1 | 2027-01-08 | 15.0% | — | $2.8K | A | KXSCREWWORMC…-A1 | ||
| > 2 | 2027-01-08 | 9.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXSCREWWORMC…-A2 | ||
| > 3 | 2027-01-08 | 9.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXSCREWWORMC…-A3 | ||
| > 5 | 2027-01-08 | 5.0% | — | $674 | A | KXSCREWWORMC…-A5 | ||
| > 10 | 2027-01-08 | 7.0% | $0 | $2.8K | A | KXSCREWWORMC…A10 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | national health agencies | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases.
Important information: To clarify, for purposes of this Contract, "cases" of New World screwworm refers to human cases only, consistent with the prior event in this series under equivalent rulebook variables. The Contract has been amended to provide that, unless otherwise specified, disease cases refer to human cases.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "national health agencies" sources (4) · stated precedence rule
- national health agencies venue-listed
- CDC source of record venue-listed
- national health statistics reporting bodies venue-listed
- World Health Organization venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxscrewwormcount-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxscrewwormcount-27jan01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxscrewwormcount-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZX2HKB77S0",
"slug": "kxscrewwormcount-27jan01",
"question": "New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States, January 8, 2027",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"disease-surveillance",
"parasitic-infection",
"us-public-health",
"screwworm",
"2027-resolution"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12305,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 85,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "national health agencies",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CDC",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "national health agencies",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CDC",
"url": "https://www.cdc.gov/index.html",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "national health statistics reporting bodies",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "World Health Organization",
"url": "https://www.who.int/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}