CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Starbucks Foot Traffic in July [ resolved 2026-08-07 ]

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
> 520 2026-08-07 100.0%
$50 $1.4K
C KXSBUXFT-26A…520
> 530 2026-08-07 100.0%
$1.3K
C KXSBUXFT-26A…530
> 540 2026-08-07 0.0%
$211 $1.5K
C KXSBUXFT-26A…540
> 550 2026-08-07 0.0%
$350
C KXSBUXFT-26A…550
> 560 2026-08-07 0.0%
$190
C KXSBUXFT-26A…560
> 570 2026-08-07 0.0%
$297
C KXSBUXFT-26A…570
> 580 2026-08-07 0.0%
$33
C KXSBUXFT-26A…580
> 590 2026-08-07 0.0%
C KXSBUXFT-26A…590
> 600 2026-08-07 0.0%
$0
C KXSBUXFT-26A…600
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Carbon Arc link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 9 markets · share this text
If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 520 Million, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Carbon Arc"
sources (1) · single authority
Carbon Arc committed source
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 520 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
YES Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 530 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 100%
NO Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 540 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 550 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 560 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 570 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 580 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 590 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
NO Will Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 be above 600 Million? kalshi 2026-08-07 0%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (9 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsbuxft-26aug08/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsbuxft-26aug08
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsbuxft-26aug08")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
  "slug": "kxsbuxft-26aug08",
  "question": "Starbucks Foot Traffic in July",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "starbucks",
    "foot-traffic",
    "retail-metrics",
    "us-commerce",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5134,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 78,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_committed_secondhand"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Carbon Arc",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Carbon Arc",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Carbon Arc",
      "url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →