South Africa balance of trade, May 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZAR6.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $737 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR8.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $134 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR10.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $959 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR12.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $3.3K | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR14.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $3.9K | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR16.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $357 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR18.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $244 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR20.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $333 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR22.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $79 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR24.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $266 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 | ||
| ZAR26.00B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $97 | C | KXSATRADEBAL….00 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 is above ZAR6.00B, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (2)
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR6.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR8.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR10.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR12.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR14.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR16.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR18.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR20.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR22.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR24.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Africa balance of trade for May 2026 be above ZAR26.00B? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (11 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsatradebal-26jun30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsatradebal-26jun30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsatradebal-26jun30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PMVM9BVTG9",
"slug": "kxsatradebal-26jun30",
"question": "South Africa balance of trade, May 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"south-africa",
"balance-of-trade",
"economics",
"trade-metrics",
"2026",
"monthly-data"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10409,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_none"
],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "no_source_stated",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}